Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields / Michael J. Roberts, Wolfram Schlenker.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Roberts, Michael J. (Michael James)

Contributor:

Schlenker, Wolfram.

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w16308.

NBER working paper series no. w16308

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2010.

Summary:

Extreme heat is the single best predictor of corn and soybean yields in the United States. While average yields have risen continuously since World War II, we find no evidence that relative tolerance to extreme heat has improved between 1950 and 2005. Climate change forecasts project a sharp increase in extreme heat by the end of the century, with the potential to significantly reduce yields under current technologies.

Notes:

August 2010.

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