The Science of Using Science: Towards an Understanding of the Threats to Scaling Experiments / Omar Al-Ubaydli, John A. List, Dana Suskind.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Al-Ubaydli, Omar.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

List, John A.

Suskind, Dana.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w25848.

NBER working paper series no. w25848

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Science of Using Science

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2019.

Summary:

Policymakers are increasingly turning to insights gained from the experimental method as a means of informing public policies. Whether--and to what extent--insights from a research study scale to the level of the broader public is, in many situations, based on blind faith. This scale-up problem can lead to a vast waste of resources, a missed opportunity to improve people's lives, and a diminution in the public's trust in the scientific method's ability to contribute to policymaking. This study provides a theoretical lens to deepen our understanding of the science of how to use science. Through a simple model, we highlight three elements of the scale-up problem: (1) when does evidence become actionable (appropriate statistical inference); (2) properties of the population; and (3) properties of the situation. We argue that until these three areas are fully understood and recognized by researchers and policymakers, the threats to scalability will render any scaling exercise as particularly vulnerable. In this way, our work represents a challenge to empiricists to estimate the nature and extent of how important the various threats to scalability are in practice, and to implement those in their original research.

Notes:

Print version record

May 2019.