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Overconfidence, Subjective Perception and Pricing Behavior / Pierpaolo Benigno, Anastasios Karantounias.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Benigno, Pierpaolo.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Karantounias, Anastasios.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w11922.
NBER working paper series no. w11922
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2006.
Summary:
We study the implications of a particular form of irrationality on the pricing behavior of firms in a monopolistic-competitive market with incomplete information. We assume that firms are overconfident, meaning that they over-estimate their abilities to understand the correct model of the economy. However, we allow firms to obtain information by paying a fixed cost. We find two important implications: i) overconfident firms are less inclined to acquire information; ii) prices might exhibit excess volatility driven by non-fundamental disturbances. We use our model to match some facts related to recent empirical evidence on disaggregated price data for the US economy.
Notes:
Print version record
January 2006.

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