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Checkmate: Exploring Backward Induction Among Chess Players / Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, Sally E. Sadoff.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Levitt, Steven D.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
List, John A.
Sadoff, Sally E.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w15610.
NBER working paper series no. w15610
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Checkmate
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2009.
Summary:
Although backward induction is a cornerstone of game theory, most laboratory experiments have found that agents are not able to successfully backward induct. Much of this evidence, however, is generated using the Centipede game, which is ill-suited for testing the theory. In this study, we analyze the play of world class chess players both in the centipede game and in another class of games - Race to 100 games - that are pure tests of backward induction. We find that world class chess players behave like student subjects in the centipede game, virtually never playing the backward induction equilibrium In the race to 100 games, in contrast, we find that many chess players properly backward induct. Consistent with our claim that the Centipede game is not a useful test of backward induction, we find no systematic within-subject relationship between choices in the centipede game and performance in pure backward induction games.
Notes:
Print version record
December 2009.

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