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Shakeouts and Market Crashes / Alessandro Barbarino, Boyan Jovanovic.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Barbarino, Alessandro.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Jovanovic, Boyan.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w10556.
NBER working paper series no. w10556
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2004.
Summary:
Stock-market crashes tend to follow run-ups in prices. These episodes look like bubbles that gradually inflate and then suddenly burst. We show that such bubbles can form in a Zeira-Rob type of model in which demand size is uncertain. Two conditions are sufficient for this to happen: A declining hazard rate in the prior distribution over market size and a positively sloped supply of capital to the industry. For the period 1971-2001 we fit the model to the Telecom sector.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2004.

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