The Future of American Fertility / Samuel H. Preston, Caroline Sten Hartnett.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Preston, Samuel H.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Sten Hartnett, Caroline.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w14498.

NBER working paper series no. w14498

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2008.

Summary:

This paper reviews the major social and demographic forces influencing American fertility levels with the aim of predicting changes during the next three decades. Increases in the Hispanic population and in educational attainment are expected to have modest and offsetting effects on fertility levels. A cessation of the recent pattern of increasing ages at childbearing will at some point put upward pressure on period (but not cohort) fertility rates. Higher relative wages for women and better contraception have empowered women and fundamentally altered marriage and relations between the sexes. But women's childbearing has become less dependent upon stable relations with men, and educational differences in intended fertility have narrowed. One explanation of higher fertility in the U.S. than in other developed countries is that its institutions have adapted better to rising relative wages for women and the attendant increase in women's labor force participation.

Notes:

Print version record

November 2008.