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Appropriability and the timing of innovation: Evidence from MIT inventions / Emmanuel Dechenaux, Brent Goldfarb, Scott A. Shane, Marie C. Thursby.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Dechenaux, Emmanuel.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Goldfarb, Brent.
Shane, Scott A.
Thursby, Marie C.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w9735.
NBER working paper series no. w9735
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Appropriability and the timing of innovation
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2003.
Summary:
At least since Arrow (1962), the effects of appropriability on invention have been well studied, but there has been little analysis of the effect of appropriability on the commercialization of existing inventions. Exploiting a database of 805 attempts by private firms to commercialize inventions licensed from MIT between 1980 and 1996, we explore the influence of several appropriability mechanisms on the commercialization and termination of projects to develop products based on university inventions. Our central hypothesis is that the relationship between a licensee's decision to either terminate or commercialize the invention is driven by the current market value of the invention, as well as the option value of delaying its commercialization. We use a competing risks framework that allows for non- parametric heterogeneity and correlated risks. We find that better appropriability in the sense of more effective patent strength and secrecy has a strong negative effect on the hazard of license termination. The effectiveness of learning has a strong positive effect on the hazard of technology commercialization, while lead time has a negative effect.
Notes:
Print version record
May 2003.

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