Labor Market Shocks and Retirement: Do Government Programs Matter? / Courtney C. Coile, Phillip B. Levine.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Coile, Courtney C.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Levine, Phillip B.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w12559.

NBER working paper series no. w12559

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Labor Market Shocks and Retirement

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2006.

Summary:

This paper examines how unemployment affects retirement and whether the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system and Social Security (SS) system affect how older workers respond to labor market shocks. To do so, we use pooled cross-sectional data from the March Current Population Survey (CPS) as well as March CPS files matched between one year and the next and longitudinal data from the Health and Retirement Survey (HRS). We find that downturns in the labor market increase retirement transitions. The magnitude of this effect is comparable to that associated with moderate changes in financial incentives to retire and to the threat of a health shock to which older workers are exposed. Interestingly, retirements only increase in response to an economic downturn once workers become SS-eligible, suggesting that retirement benefits may help alleviate the income loss associated with a weak labor market. We also estimate the impact of UI generosity on retirement and find little consistent evidence of an effect. This suggests that in some ways SS may serve as a more effective form of unemployment insurance for older workers than UI.

Notes:

Print version record

October 2006.