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The Effects of Wal-Mart on Local Labor Markets / David Neumark, Junfu Zhang, Stephen Ciccarella.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Neumark, David.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Zhang, Junfu.
Ciccarella, Stephen.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w11782.
NBER working paper series no. w11782
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005.
Summary:
We estimate the effects of Wal-Mart stores on county-level retail employment and earnings, accounting for endogeneity of the location and timing of Wal-Mart openings that most likely biases the evidence against finding adverse effects of Wal-Mart stores. We address the endogeneity problem using a natural instrumental variables approach that arises from the geographic and time pattern of the opening of Wal-Mart stores, which slowly spread out from the first stores in Arkansas. The employment results indicate that a Wal-Mart store opening reduces county-level retail employment by about 150 workers, implying that each Wal-Mart worker replaces approximately 1.4 retail workers. This represents a 2.7 percent reduction in average retail employment. The payroll results indicate that Wal-Mart store openings lead to declines in county-level retail earnings of about $1.4 million, or 1.5 percent. Of course, these effects occurred against a backdrop of rising retail employment, and only imply lower retail employment growth than would have occurred absent the effects of Wal-Mart.
Notes:
Print version record
November 2005.

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