Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain, and the UK / Gordon H. Hanson, Craig McIntosh.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Hanson, Gordon H.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

McIntosh, Craig.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w16471.

NBER working paper series no. w16471

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Birth Rates and Border Crossings

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2010.

Summary:

We use census data for the US, Canada, Spain, and UK to estimate bilateral migration rates to these countries from 25 Latin American and Caribbean nations over the period 1980 to 2005. Latin American migration to the US is responsive to labor supply shocks, as predicted by earlier changes in birth cohort sizes, and labor demand shocks associated with balance of payments crises and natural disasters. Latin American migration to Canada, Spain, and the UK, in contrast, is largely insensitive to these shocks, responding only to civil and military conflict. The results are consistent with US immigration policy toward Latin America (which is relatively permissive toward illegal entry) being mediated by market forces and immigration policy in the other countries (which favor skilled workers and asylum seekers, among other groups) insulating them from labor market shocks in the region.

Notes:

Print version record

October 2010.