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Capital Tax Incidence: Fisherian Impressions from the Time Series / Casey B. Mulligan.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Mulligan, Casey B.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w9916.
NBER working paper series no. w9916
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Capital Tax Incidence
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2003.
Summary:
This paper accepts for the sake of argument the hypothesis that much of the time series correlation between tax and profit rates is spurious, and shows how nonetheless time series for profit rates, tax rates, and consumption can be organized, compared and interpreted using Fisher's (1930) theory of consumption in order to understand the incidence of capital taxes. Capital taxation is associated with a wedge between anticipated aggregate consumption growth and capital rental rates, suggesting that in one way or another capital owner behavior adjusts in the direction needed for some passing' of the capital tax. Conversely, most of the medium and low frequency deviations between anticipated aggregate consumption growth and capital rental rates are associated with capital taxation, as implied by aggregate time-separable Fisherian consumption theories in which time preference, non-tax capital market distortions, aggregation biases, and other determinants of aggregate consumption growth vary little over time.
Notes:
Print version record
August 2003.

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