Population Aging, Fiscal Policies, and National Saving: Predictions for Korean Economy / Young Jun Chun.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Chun, Young Jun.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w12265.

NBER working paper series no. w12265

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Population Aging, Fiscal Policies, and National Saving

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2006.

Summary:

This paper evaluates the effects of population aging and fiscal policies on national saving in Korean situation. For the prediction of the national savings rate of Korea for the next several decades, we employ a life-cycle model, which incorporates the generational accounting approach needed to assess the distribution of fiscal burden across generations. We found that the rapid population aging and long-term budgetary imbalance will substantially lower the national savings rate in Korea. A sensitivity analysis based on an alternative model, an altruistic family model, shows that these predictions are robust to the specification of altruism among generations. In addition, the estimation results of consumption functions with respect to various kinds of wealth suggest that the annuitization of wealth due to maturing of public pensions and introduction of reverse annuity mortgage is likely to further decrease the savings rate in the future.

Notes:

Print version record

May 2006.