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A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates / Dimitri Vayanos, Jean-Luc Vila.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Vayanos, Dimitri.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Vila, Jean-Luc.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w15487.
NBER working paper series no. w15487
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2009.
Summary:
We model the term structure of interest rates as resulting from the interaction between investor clienteles with preferences for specific maturities and risk-averse arbitrageurs. Because arbitrageurs are risk averse, shocks to clienteles' demand for bonds affect the term structure---and constitute an additional determinant of bond prices to current and expected future short rates. At the same time, because arbitrageurs render the term structure arbitrage-free, demand effects satisfy no-arbitrage restrictions and can be quite different from the underlying shocks. We show that the preferred-habitat view of the term structure generates a rich set of implications for bond risk premia, the effects of demand shocks and of shocks to short-rate expectations, the economic role of carry trades, and the transmission of monetary policy.
Notes:
Print version record
November 2009.

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