Transition to FDI Openness: Reconciling Theory and Evidence / Ellen R. McGrattan.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

McGrattan, Ellen R.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w16774.

NBER working paper series no. w16774

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Transition to FDI Openness

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2011.

Summary:

Empirical studies quantifying the economic effects of increased foreign direct investment (FDI) have not provided conclusive evidence that they are positive, as theory predicts. This paper shows that the lack of empirical evidence is consistent with theory if countries are in transition to FDI openness. Anticipated welfare gains lead to temporary declines in domestic investment and employment. Also, growth measures miss some intangible FDI, which is expensed from company profits. The reconciliation of theory and evidence is accomplished with a multicountry dynamic general equilibrium model parameterized with data from a sample of 104 countries during 1980-2005. Although no systematic benefits of FDI openness are found, the model demonstrates that the eventual gains in growth and welfare can be huge, especially for small countries.

Notes:

Print version record

February 2011.