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Weak and Semi-Strong Form Stock Return Predictability Revisited / Wayne E. Ferson, Andrea Heuson, Tie Su.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Ferson, Wayne E.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Heuson, Andrea.
Su, Tie.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w11021.
NBER working paper series no. w11021
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005.
Summary:
This paper makes indirect inference about the time-variation in expected stock returns by comparing unconditional sample variances to estimates of expected conditional variances. The evidence reveals more predictability as more information is used, and no evidence that predictability has diminished in recent years. Semi-strong form evidence suggests that time-variation in expected returns remains economically important.
Notes:
Print version record
January 2005.

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