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Is Quantity Theory Still Alive? / Pedro Teles, Harald Uhlig.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Teles, Pedro.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Uhlig, Harald.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w16393.
NBER working paper series no. w16393
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2010.
Summary:
This paper investigates whether the quantity theory of money is still alive. We demonstrate three insights. First, for countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best. Second, the fit markedly improves, when correcting for variation in output growth and the opportunity cost of money, using elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low elasticity of money demand.
Notes:
Print version record
September 2010.

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