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Assessing the Impact of Russia's War against Ukraine on Eastern Partner Countries / Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

OECD Global Available online

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Finance and Investment.
Social Issues/Migration/Health.
Development.
Trade.
Armenia.
Azerbaijan.
Georgia.
Moldova, Republic of.
Ukraine.
Local Subjects:
Finance and Investment.
Social Issues/Migration/Health.
Development.
Trade.
Armenia.
Azerbaijan.
Georgia.
Moldova, Republic of.
Ukraine.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (82 p. )
Edition:
1st ed.
Place of Publication:
Paris : OECD Publishing, 2023.
Summary:
Russia's war against Ukraine is causing a humanitarian, social and economic crisis for the Ukrainian people. The consequences of this full-scale military invasion are disrupting the global supply of commodities, sharply increasing food and energy prices, and threating the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Countries with established commercial and financial ties with the economies of Russia and Ukraine appear to be particularly vulnerable. Assessing the Impact of Russia's War against Ukraine on Eastern Partner Countries investigates the exposure of Eastern Partner countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Republic of Moldova and Ukraine) to the economic shocks caused by the war, and in particular through the impact that the conflict is having on inflation, migration, remittances, investment and trade. This report is published as part of the multi-country project "EU4Business: From Policies to Action - phase 2", implemented in the Eastern Partnership with the financial support of the European Union within the EU4Business initiative.
Contents:
Intro
Foreword
Acknowledgements
Table of contents
Abbreviations and acronyms
Executive summary
1 Introduction
Overview
International sanctions against Russia and Belarus
Russia's response to international sanctions
2 Economic shocks triggered by the war
The impact of sanctions and the contraction of Russia's economy
The devastation of Ukraine
The impact of the war on the other EaP countries
Supply chain disruptions
Global trading routes
Russia, Ukraine and Belarus in global supply chains
Soaring commodity prices
Energy
Food
Exchange-rate movements
3 Transmission channels to Eastern Partner countries
Inflation
Migration
Refugees in Moldova
Russian migration to South Caucasus
Remittances
Investment
Trade
4 Focus on the SME sector
The SME sectors in EaP countries
The impact of Russia's war on Ukrainian SMEs
SMEs' exposure to Russia, Ukraine and Belarus
SME financing
5 Policy responses
Help, protect and integrate refugees
Shield local populations and businesses from the economic impact of the war
Maintain open markets and promote diversification
Seize potential opportunities arising from a changing economic landscape
Strengthen climate and energy policies
Bibliography.
ISBN:
92-64-52531-9
92-64-59229-6

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