ITF Transport Outlook 2019 / International Transport Forum.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

International Transport Forum, author, issuing body.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Transportation--Planning.

Transportation.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (254 pages) : illustrations

Edition:

2019 edition.

Place of Publication:

Paris : OECD Publishing, 2019.

Summary:

The ITF Transport Outlook provides an overview of recent trends and near-term prospects for the transport sector at a global level as well as long-term prospects for transport demand to 2050. The analysis covers freight (maritime, air, surface) and passenger transport (car, rail, air) as well as CO2 emissions. This 2019 edition of the ITF Transport Outlook specifically examines the impacts of potential disruptions to transport systems. It also reviews alternative policy scenarios for long-term trends in transport demand and CO2 emissions from all modes for both freight and passenger transport.

Contents:

Editorial 3

Acknowledgements 6

Reader's guide 13

Executive summary17

Background 17

Findings 17

Policy insights 19

Chapter 1 How transport demand will change by 2050 21

Increasing uncertainty about the drivers of transport demand 22

Growing demand for passenger transport 26

Freight transport growth faces uncertainties 36

Notes 44

References 44

Chapter 2 Impact of transport policies on CO2 emissions to 2050 47

The challenge of decarbonising transport 48

Political ambition is critical for mitigating transport CO2 emissions 50

Disruptive innovations will be needed in order to achieve decarbonisation targets in the transport sector 69

Notes 69

References 70

Chapter 3 Disruptions in urban passenger transport 73

The urban mobility landscape is rapidly changing 74

The mitigation potential of urban transport policies 76

Disruption through telework 87

Massive shared mobility 91

Autonomous vehicles 97

Disruptive scenarios for urban passenger transport 105

Notes 112

References 113

Chapter 4 Disruptions in non-urban passenger transport 121

Demand for non-urban passenger transport set to rise sharply 122

The mitigation potential of transport policies for non-urban passenger travel1 23

Ultra-high-speed rail 132

Long-haul low-cost aviation 137

Alternative aviation fuels 141

Three disruptive scenarios for non-urban passenger transport 144

Tables

Figures

Boxes.

Notes:

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

ISBN:

92-821-1471-6