Defining the Uncertainty of Reliability Predictions

Format:

Conference/Event

Author/Creator:

Vannoy, E. Harold, author.

Conference Name:

SAE International Congress & Exposition (1987-02-23 : Detroit, Michigan, United States)

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource

Place of Publication:

Warrendale, PA SAE International 1987

Summary:

Typically reliability predictions result in a specific value (point estimate) for the reliability or failure rate with no measure of the uncertainty that is involved in the result.It is possible to determine the magnitude of the uncertainty of a reliability prediction by statistically defining the distribution of each of the variables in the prediction model and then using Monte Carlo simulation techniques to propagate the uncertainty. This will result in upper and lower reliability bounds to describe the prediction rather than a point estimation

Notes:

Vendor supplied data

Publisher Number:

870053

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license