A Routine Bayesian Assessment and Modification of Prediction

Format:

Conference/Event

Author/Creator:

Salt, Trevor L., author.

Conference Name:

9th Reliability and Maintainability Conference (1970-07-20 : Detroit, Michigan, United States)

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource

Place of Publication:

Warrendale, PA SAE International 1970

Summary:

The author previously introduced an approach to the modification of mechanical component life predictions by utilization of Bayes Theorem in its discrete formulation. This paper shows how these previous ideas have been extended and developed into the production of a computer program BAMBI (Bayesian, Analysis Modified By Inspection) for the routine assessment and modification of belief.Three important problems and solutions are discussed in depth:It is concluded that a computer program such as BAMBI can be extremely useful for evaluating an original design intent in the light of subsequent test and field experience. Further, the availability of such a routine Bayesian analytical technique in Gas Turbine engine design provides one example of Assurance Technology spin-off

Notes:

Vendor supplied data

Publisher Number:

700575

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license