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The Forecasting and Analysis of Container Throughput at Tianjin Port Based on Combination Forecasting Model School of Transportation, Shanghai Maritime University, Shan

SAE Technical Papers (1906-current) Available online

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Format:
Book
Conference/Event
Author/Creator:
Shi, Yujie, author.
Contributor:
Zhou, Xin
Conference Name:
2025 8th International Conference on Traffic Transportation and Civil Architecture (ICTTCA 2025) (2025-04-18 : Tianjin, China)
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource cm
Place of Publication:
Warrendale, PA SAE International 2025
Summary:
Accurate forecasting of port container throughput is essential for strategic port planning and infrastructure development. This paper systematically employed the GM (1,1) grey prediction model, quadratic exponential smoothing model and ARIMA model to forecast container throughput at Tianjin Port. Subsequently, a combined model was established through weighted integration of these individual predictors. The results demonstrated that the combined model achieved higher predictive accuracy and lower mean error compared to individual model, thereby providing valuable insights for Tianjin Port's strategic development planning
Notes:
Vendor supplied data
Publisher Number:
2025-99-0216
Access Restriction:
Restricted for use by site license

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