Reliability Estimation of Large-Scale Dynamic Systems by using Re-analysis and Tail Modeling Oakland University

Format:

Conference/Event

Author/Creator:

Mourelatos, Zissimos P., author.

Conference Name:

SAE World Congress & Exhibition (2009-04-20 : Detroit, Michigan, United States)

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource

Place of Publication:

Warrendale, PA SAE International 2009

Summary:

Probabilistic studies can be prohibitively expensive because they require repeated finite element analyses of large models. Re-analysis methods have been proposed with the premise to estimate accurately the dynamic response of a structure after a baseline design has been modified, without recalculating the new response. Although these methods increase computational efficiency, they are still not efficient enough for probabilistic analysis of large-scale dynamic systems with low failure probabilities (less or equal to 10-3). This paper presents a methodology that uses deterministic and probabilistic re-analysis methods to generate sample points of the response. Subsequently, tail modeling is used to estimate the right tail of the response PDF and the probability of failure a highly reliable system. The methodology is demonstrated on probabilistic vibration analysis of a realistic vehicle FE model

Notes:

Vendor supplied data

Publisher Number:

2009-01-0200

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license