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The Cold War and the U.S. Labor Market / Ilyana Kuziemko, Donato A. Onorato, Suresh Naidu.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Kuziemko, Ilyana.
Contributor:
Onorato, Donato A.
Naidu, Suresh.
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w35008.
NBER working paper series no. w35008
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2026.
Summary:
We argue that the Cold War contributed to the inclusive growth of the post-war decades. On the labor-demand side, we isolate exogenous shifts in military procurement across states and firms. We show that military procurement increases manufacturing employment and reduces inequality. Overall, the 1950s-to-1990s decline in defense production explains roughly one-quarter of the decline in manufacturing employment and nearly one-tenth of the rise of top-ten income share. On the labor-supply side, the Cold-War-era draft removed millions of young men from the labor force, significantly reducing young male civilian unemployment. Military procurement also increased voter support for hawkish foreign policy.
Notes:
March 2026.
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