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Trading Goods for Lives: NAFTA’s Mortality Impacts and Implications / Amy Finkelstein, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, Steven X. Shi.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Finkelstein, Amy.
Contributor:
Notowidigdo, Matthew J.
Shi, Steven X.
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w34855.
NBER working paper series no. w34855
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2026.
Summary:
We estimate the mortality effects of local labor market exposure to NAFTA and compare them to the mortality effects of other U.S. local labor market contractions. Areas more exposed to NAFTA experienced sustained increases in mortality over the subsequent 15 years. Mortality increases occurred for all broad demographic groups, but were especially pronounced among working-age men. Extending the analysis to other economic contractions, we show that the health consequences depend critically on which sectors bear the losses: declines in manufacturing employment increase local area mortality, while declines in non-manufacturing employment reduce it.
Notes:
February 2026.
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