Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century : Volume 1 The Role of Theory / ed. by William Potter, Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Bajema, Natasha E., Contributor.

Bleek, Philipp C., Contributor.

Dunn, Lewis A., Contributor.

Hymans, Jacques E. C., Contributor.

Mukhatzhanova, Gaukhar, Contributor.

Mukhatzhanova, Gaukhar, Editor.

Müller, Harald, Contributor.

Potter, William C., Contributor.

Potter, William, Editor.

Sagan, Scott D., Contributor.

Schmidt, Andreas, Contributor.

Solingen, Etel, Contributor.

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource (312 p.) : 26 tables, 10 figures, 1 map

Place of Publication:

Stanford, CA : Stanford University Press, [2022]

Language Note:

In English.

Summary:

This volume provides the most comprehensive and up-to-date collection of theoretical perspectives regarding the sources of and propensity for nuclear proliferation. The authors probe the broader questions of why states pursue or abstain from nuclear weapons, as well as finer methodological issues involving concept definition and development, hypothesis testing, and generalization of findings. They draw upon both the extensive body of qualitative analysis and the inchoate but important work of a quantitative nature. Although the chapters do not all focus specifically on the relationship between one state's nuclear behavior and that of another, collectively the essays provide a better understanding of the limits of reactive proliferation as well as the circumstances under which weapons diffusion is most likely to occur. They also offer compelling arguments about what must be done in order to improve proliferation prognoses and propose new conceptual approaches toward that end.

Contents:

Frontmatter

CONTENTS

Acknowledgments

1. Forecasting Proliferation: The Role of Theory, an Introduction

2. The Study of Nuclear Proliferation and Nonproliferation: Toward a New Consensus?

3. Domestic Models of Political Survival: Why Some Do and Others Don't (Proliferate)

4. Beyond the Security Model: Assessing the Capacity of Neoclassical Realism for Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation

5. Nuclear Latency and Nuclear Proliferation

6. When Does a State Become a "Nuclear Weapons State"? An Exercise in Measurement Validation

7. The Little-Known Story of Deproliferation: Why States Give Up Nuclear Weapons Activities

8. Why Do States Proliferate? Quantitative Analysis of the Exploration, Pursuit, and Acquisition of Nuclear Weapons

9. A World of Nuclear Powers: A Gedanken Experiment

Notes

Contributors

Index

Notes:

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 31. Jan 2022)

ISBN:

1-5036-2743-8

OCLC:

1294424203