At our own peril : DoD risk assessment in a post-primacy world / Nathan P. Freier, principal author and project director ; Christopher M. Bado, Christopher J. Bolan, Robert S. Hume, J. Matthew Lissner, contributing authors ; Heather Bellusci, John R. Beurer, Ralph Borja, Steven Buelt, Michael Lechlitner, Robert D. Montz, Robert Phillips, Kelsey Smith, contributing researchers.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Freier, Nathan, author.

Contributor:

Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute, publisher.

Army War College (U.S.). Press, publisher.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

United States. Department of Defense--Planning.

United States.

United States. Department of Defense.

Risk assessment--United States.

Risk assessment.

Risk communication--United States.

Risk communication.

Strategic planning--United States.

Strategic planning.

Military planning--United States.

Military planning.

Hegemony--United States.

Hegemony.

Planning.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (xix, 116 pages) : color illustrations

Other Title:

DoD risk assessment in a post-primacy world

Department of Defense risk assessment in a post-primacy world

Place of Publication:

Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute and U.S. Army War College Press, 2017.

Summary:

"The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) faces persistent fundamental change in its strategic and operating environments. This report suggests this reality is the product of the United States entering or being in the midst of a new, more competitive, post-U.S. primacy environment. Post-primacy conditions promise far-reaching impacts on U.S. national security and defense strategy. Consequently, there is an urgent requirement for DoD to examine and adapt how it develops strategy and describes, identifies, assesses, and communicates corporate-level risk. This report takes on the latter risk challenge. It argues for a new post-primacy risk concept and its four governing principles of diversity, dynamism, persistent dialogue, and adaptation. The authors suggest that this approach is critical to maintaining U.S. military advantage into the future. Absent change in current risk convention, the report suggests DoD exposes current and future military performance to potential failure or gross under-performance"--Publisher's web site.

Contents:

Foundational understanding. Introduction : post-U.S. primacy and the new fundamentals of risk and risk assessment

Study methodology

Describing risk. The logic of post-primacy risk : current conventions and new terms of reference

Identifying risk. Securing U.S. position : six enduring defense objectives

A post-primacy decision-making environment

Assessing and communicating risk. A post-primacy risk concept : diversity, dynamism, persistent dialogue, and adaptation

Communicating risk : a common risk currency

Study outcomes. Findings and recommendations

Conclusion : ownership, culture, and adaptation.

Notes:

"June 2017."

Paper version available for sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office.

Includes bibliographical references.

Online resource, PDF version; title from title page (SSI, viewed June 30, 2017).

Other Format:

Print version: Freier, Nathan. At our own peril

OCLC:

992440153