2 options
How USDA forecasts retail food price inflation / Annemarie Kuhns [and three others].
- Format:
- Book
- Government document
- Author/Creator:
- Kuhns, Annemarie, author.
- Series:
- Technical bulletin (United States. Department of Agriculture) ; no. 1940.
- Technical bulletin ; number 1940
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Food prices--United States--Forecasting.
- Food prices.
- Food prices--Forecasting--Mathematical models.
- Produce trade--United States--Forecasting.
- Produce trade.
- Food industry and trade--United States--Forecasting.
- Food industry and trade.
- Food industry and trade--Forecasting.
- Food prices--Forecasting.
- Produce trade--Forecasting.
- United States.
- Genre:
- Online resources.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (iii, 2 unnumbered, 37 pages) : illustrations.
- Other Title:
- How United States Department of Agriculture forecasts retail food price inflation
- Place of Publication:
- [Washington, D.C.] : United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 2015.
- Summary:
- Wholesale and retail food price forecasts are useful to farmers, processors, wholesalers, consumers, and policymakers alike, as the structure and environment of food and agricultural economies are continually evolving. USDA's Economic Research Service analyzes food prices and provides 12- to 18-month food price forecasts for 7 farm, 6 wholesale, and 19 retail food categories. In 2011, ERS's forecasting procedure was updated to employ a vertical price transmission method that incorporates input prices at each stage of production. Where this is not possible, an autoregressive moving average approach is used. This report provides a detailed description of the revised methodology as well as an analysis of the overall accuracy and performance of individual forecasts. The revised forecasting methods show modest increases in forecast accuracy compared with simple univariate approaches previously used by ERS.
- Notes:
- "May 2015."
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 31-33).
- Online resource; title from PDF title page (viewed February 10, 2016).
- Other Format:
- Print version: Kuhns, Annemarie. How USDA forecasts retail food price inflation.
- OCLC:
- 938049461
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