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Small Area Estimation of Non-Monetary Poverty with Geospatial Data / Takaaki Masaki.

World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Masaki, Takaaki.
Contributor:
Bedada, Adane.
Engstrom, Ryan.
Newhouse, David.
Silwal, Ani Rudra.
Series:
Policy research working papers.
World Bank e-Library.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Geospatial Analysis.
Inequality.
Living Standards.
Poverty Assessment.
Poverty Lines.
Poverty Measurement.
Poverty Monitoring and Analysis.
Poverty Rate.
Poverty Reduction.
Remote Sensing.
Small Area Estimate.
Local Subjects:
Geospatial Analysis.
Inequality.
Living Standards.
Poverty Assessment.
Poverty Lines.
Poverty Measurement.
Poverty Monitoring and Analysis.
Poverty Rate.
Poverty Reduction.
Remote Sensing.
Small Area Estimate.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (49 pages)
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2020.
System Details:
data file
Summary:
This paper uses data from Sri Lanka and Tanzania to evaluate the benefits of combining household surveys with geographically comprehensive geospatial indicators to generate small area estimates of non-monetary poverty. The preferred estimates are generated by utilizing subarea-level geospatial indicators in a household-level empirical best predictor mixed model with a normalized welfare measure. Mean squared errors are estimated using a parametric bootstrap procedure. The resulting estimates are highly correlated with non-monetary poverty calculated from the full census in both countries, and the gain in precision is comparable to increasing the size of the sample by a factor of three in Sri Lanka and five in Tanzania. The empirical best predictor model moderately underestimates uncertainty, but coverage rates are similar to standard survey-based estimates that assume independent outcomes across clusters. A variety of checks, including adding noise to the welfare measure and model-based and design-based simulations, confirm that the main results are robust. The results demonstrate that combining household survey data with subarea-level geospatial indicators can greatly increase the precision of survey estimates of non-monetary poverty at comparatively low cost.

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