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How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing / Quy-Toan Do.

World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Do, Quy-Toan.
Contributor:
Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed.
Ahn, Daniel P.
Baugh, Kimberly.
Do, Quy-Toan.
Elvidge, Christopher D.
Hansen-Lewis, Jamie.
Shapiro, Jacob N.
Zhizhin, Mikhail.
Series:
Policy research working papers.
World Bank e-Library.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Conflict and Development.
Conflict and Fragile States.
Energy.
Flaring.
ISIS.
Islamic State.
Oil.
Oil Production.
Oil Revenue.
Remote Sensing.
Local Subjects:
Conflict and Development.
Conflict and Fragile States.
Energy.
Flaring.
ISIS.
Islamic State.
Oil.
Oil Production.
Oil Revenue.
Remote Sensing.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (54 pages)
Other Title:
How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing?
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2017.
System Details:
data file
Summary:
Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies-including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh-tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding spatial and temporal variation in production in their territory can help address such threats by providing near real-time monitoring of their revenue streams, helping to assess long-term economic potential, and informing reconstruction strategies. More broadly, remotely measuring extractive industry activity in conflict-affected areas and other regions without reliable administrative data can support a broad range of public policy decisions and academic research. This paper uses satellite multi-spectral imaging and ground-truth pre-war output data to effectively construct a real-time day-to-day census of oil production in areas controlled by the terrorist group. The estimates of production levels were approximately 56,000 barrels per day (bpd) from July-December 2014, drop to an average of 35,000 bpd throughout 2015, before dropping further to approximately 16,000 bpd in 2016.

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