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Ethnic Polarization and the Duration of Civil Wars / Reynal-Querol, Marta

World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Reynal-Querol, Marta.
Contributor:
Montalvo, Jose G.
Reynal-Querol, Marta.
Series:
Policy research working papers.
World Bank e-Library.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Civil War.
Civil Wars.
Conflict.
Conflict and Development.
Conflicts.
Decolonization.
Economic Development.
Ethnic Diversity.
Financial Support.
Foreign Investment.
Genocide.
Grant.
Health, Nutrition and Population.
Peace.
Peace and Peacekeeping.
Peace Research.
Polarization.
Population Policies.
Post Conflict Reconstruction.
Rebel.
Rebels.
Revolutions.
Rule of Law.
Social Conflict and Violence.
Social Development.
Violence.
War.
Local Subjects:
Civil War.
Civil Wars.
Conflict.
Conflict and Development.
Conflicts.
Decolonization.
Economic Development.
Ethnic Diversity.
Financial Support.
Foreign Investment.
Genocide.
Grant.
Health, Nutrition and Population.
Peace.
Peace and Peacekeeping.
Peace Research.
Polarization.
Population Policies.
Post Conflict Reconstruction.
Rebel.
Rebels.
Revolutions.
Rule of Law.
Social Conflict and Violence.
Social Development.
Violence.
War.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (31 pages)
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2007
System Details:
data file
Summary:
The authors analyze the relationship between ethnic polarization and the duration of civil wars. Several recent papers have argued that the uncertainty about the relative power of the contenders in a war will tend to increase its duration. In these models, uncertainty is directly related to the relative size of the contenders. The authors argue that the duration of civil wars increases the more polarized a society is. Uncertainty is not necessarily linked to the structure of the population but it could be traced back to the measurement of the size of the different groups in the society. Given a specific level of measurement error or uncertainty, more polarization implies lengthier wars. The empirical results show that ethnically polarized countries have to endure longer civil wars than ethnically less polarized societies.

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