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Examining the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in India through Daily Electricity Consumption and Nighttime Light Intensity / Beyer, Robert C.M..
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online
View online- Format:
- Book
- Government document
- Author/Creator:
- Beyer, Robert C.M..
- Series:
- Policy research working papers.
- World Bank e-Library.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Coronavirus.
- COVID-19.
- Economic Conditions and Volatility.
- Economic Growth.
- Electricity Consumption.
- Energy.
- Energy Consumption.
- Energy Policies and Economics.
- Lockdown.
- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth.
- Migration.
- Nightlight Measurement.
- Nighttime Light Intensity.
- Pandemic Impact.
- Local Subjects:
- Coronavirus.
- COVID-19.
- Economic Conditions and Volatility.
- Economic Growth.
- Electricity Consumption.
- Energy.
- Energy Consumption.
- Energy Policies and Economics.
- Lockdown.
- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth.
- Migration.
- Nightlight Measurement.
- Nighttime Light Intensity.
- Pandemic Impact.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (36 pages)
- Place of Publication:
- Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2020.
- System Details:
- data file
- Summary:
- The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted economic activity in India. Adjusting policies to contain trans- mission while mitigating the economic impact requires an assessment of the economic situation in near real-time and at high spatial granularity. This paper shows that daily electricity consumption and monthly nighttime light intensity can proxy for economic activity in India. Energy consumption is compared with the predictions of a consumption model that explains 90 percent of the variation in normal times. Energy consumption declined strongly after a national lockdown was implemented on March 25, 2020 and remained a quarter below normal levels throughout April. It recovered somewhat subsequently, but electricity consumption was on average still 13.5 percent lower than normal in May. Not all states and union territories have been affected equally. While electricity consumption halved in some, others were not affected at all. Part of the heterogeneity is explained by the prevalence of manufacturing and return migration. At the district level, higher COVID-19 infection rates were associated with larger declines in nighttime light intensity in April. Together, daily electricity consumption and nighttime light intensity allow monitoring economic activity in near real-time and high spatial granularity.
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