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The Gambia - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis.

World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
World Bank Group.
Contributor:
International Monetary Fund.
Series:
Debt and Creditworthiness Study.
World Bank e-Library.
Debt and Creditworthiness Study
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Debt Markets.
External Debt.
Finance and Financial Sector Development.
Public Sector Development.
Risk Assessment.
Local Subjects:
Debt Markets.
External Debt.
Finance and Financial Sector Development.
Public Sector Development.
Risk Assessment.
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2019.
System Details:
data file
Summary:
An updated DSA indicates that The Gambia is in external debt distress, though its public debt is deemed sustainable on a forward-looking basis. The external debt service-to-exports and -to-revenue ratios breach their indicative thresholds by large margins in the near term and signal major liquidity pressures. However, once these pressures are addressed by the prospective debt relief and the authorities' fiscal consolidation and state-owned enterprise (SOE) reform program, the PV of total public debt would be brought below its threshold over the medium term. On the upside, debt relief discussions with external creditors are progressing and could unlock additional budget support. Downside risks mainly relate to the political environment and fiscal discipline, the unravelling of which could destabilize the economy and worsen the outlook for public debt.

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