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Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis.
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online
View online- Format:
- Book
- Government document
- Author/Creator:
- World Bank Group.
- Series:
- Debt and Creditworthiness Study.
- World Bank e-Library.
- Debt and Creditworthiness Study
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Debt Markets.
- External Debt.
- Finance and Financial Sector Development.
- Public Sector Development.
- Risk Assessment.
- Local Subjects:
- Debt Markets.
- External Debt.
- Finance and Financial Sector Development.
- Public Sector Development.
- Risk Assessment.
- Place of Publication:
- Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2019.
- System Details:
- data file
- Summary:
- Based on the Joint Bank-Fund Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Analysis (LIC-DSA), Uzbekistan has a low risk of debt distress, with debt burden indicators below relevant thresholds in the baseline and all stress scenarios. Over the medium term, the public debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to increase moderately, while the total external debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to decline somewhat. In addition, large foreign exchange reserve buffers mitigate potential distress concerns. The debt sustainability analysis suggests that the most significant risks could result from worse-than-expected external flows (mostly lower remittances) and significantly lower exports. The government should carefully manage external borrowing to maintain Uzbekistan's strong external position.
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