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Amping Airpower--Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing for the U.S. Air Force Military Utility, Market Dynamics, and Warfighter Adoption / DAHLIA ANNE GOLDFELD, LAUREN A. MAYER, JEFFREY S. BROWN, SHAWN COCHRAN, ELIZABETH HASTINGS ROER, SYDNEY LITTERER, RICHARD MASON, JIM MIGNANO, SAMANTHA MCBIRNEY, CARLOS A. VILLEGAS.

RAND Reports Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Goldfeld, Dahlia Anne
Contributor:
Mayer, Lauren A.
Brown, Jeffrey
Cochran, Shawn T.
Hastings Roer, Elizabeth
Litterer, Sydney
Mason, Richard, 1970-
Mignano, Jim Robert, 1981-
McBirney, Samantha
Villegas, Carlos A.
Project Air Force (U.S.)
Rand Corporation.
United States. Department of the Air Force.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
United States. Air Force--Procurement.
United States.
Vertically rising aircraft--United States.
Vertically rising aircraft.
Electric airplanes--United States.
Electric airplanes.
Airplanes, Military--United States.
Airplanes, Military.
Aeronautics, Commercial--Technological innovations--United States.
Aeronautics, Commercial.
Emerging Technologies.
Military Acquisition and Procurement.
Military Aircraft.
Military Facilities.
Military Technology.
Transportation Technology.
Local Subjects:
Emerging Technologies.
Military Acquisition and Procurement.
Military Aircraft.
Military Facilities.
Military Technology.
Transportation Technology.
Other Title:
Amping Airpower—Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing for the U.S. Air Force
Place of Publication:
RAND Corporation 2024
Summary:
Billions of dollars from industry have been poured into the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for future urban mobility. Air Force Research Laboratory founded Agility Prime to shape and accelerate the eVTOL market. In this report, the authors evaluate the utility the U.S. Air Force (USAF) might get from eVTOL aircraft, how much influence the USAF has on technical development and supply chains, and options to transition emerging commercial technology to the USAF to recommend an eVTOL strategy for the USAF. This research involved a literature review, expert discussions, operational modeling, aircraft performance modeling, electric charging and battery modeling, strategic modeling, and case studies. The main outputs are measures of eVTOL military utility, forecasted military market share, the future eVTOL supply chain geography, and feasible transition routes that the USAF could use to adopt eVTOL aircraft. Among the findings is that, while eVTOL aircraft could likely benefit select USAF missions, eVTOL aircraft are unlikely to be transformational to the USAF. Furthermore, injecting capital into eVTOL firms is not likely to have Agility Prime's desired effect of shaping the domestic eVTOL industry. The authors recommend that Agility Prime focus on two lines of effort: one for small-scale operational use and live experiments, and another to foster and continue collaboration with eVTOL companies in pursuit of autonomous flight. This research was completed in July 2022. It has not been subsequently revised.
Contents:
CHAPTER 1: Introduction
CHAPTER 2: eVTOL Aircraft Today
CHAPTER 3: eVTOL Aircraft Utility for the USAF
CHAPTER 4: eVTOL Market Considerations for the USAF
CHAPTER 5: A Strategic Approach to Future USAF Engagement with eVTOL Technology
CHAPTER 6: Options to Transition eVTOL Technology to the Warfighter
CHAPTER 7: Findings and Recommendations
APPENDIX A: Previous USAF Analysis of eVTOL Utility
APPENDIX B: Stakeholder Input
APPENDIX C: eVTOL Cost and Capability
APPENDIX D: Use Case Assessment
APPENDIX E: Emerging Technology Case Studies
APPENDIX F: Transition Mechanisms.
Notes:
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