From Uncertainty to Policy : a Guide to Migration Scenarios / Jakub Bijak, editor.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Bijak, Jakub, editor.

Edward Elgar Publishing, publisher.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Emigration and immigration--Government policy.

Emigration and immigration.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (184 pages)

Edition:

First edition.

Place of Publication:

Northampton : Edward Elgar Publishing, 2024.

Summary:

"This unique book provides a practical and interdisciplinary blueprint for determining quantitative scenarios of future international migration. Focusing on complexity and uncertainty as the defining challenges of migration, it explores how scenario building can be used to inform and underpin effective migration policy and practice. Through conceptual, theoretical and methodological analysis, From Uncertainty to Policy: A Guide to Migration Scenarios outlines the current state of the art in future-oriented migration studies. Highlighting key lessons and recommendations, expert contributors assess both the opportunities and limitations of scenario building as an analytical device. They combine demographic, statistical, sociological, economic, geographic and political science expertise to develop a new multi-step process for estimating, predicting and simulating migration flows and patterns. Ultimately, the book emphasises the importance of accounting for uncertainty and complexity in migration policy and presents practical tools for accurately measuring and managing migration now and in the future. Advancing the methodology of setting migration scenarios under uncertainty, this book is an essential resource for migration practitioners, advisors and policy-makers and a valuable read for students and scholars of migration studies, geography and population sciences"-- Provided by publisher.

Contents:

Contents: Foreword by adrian e. Raftery

Acknowledgements

Part I: Foundations

1. Introduction: Migration uncertainty, policy and scenarios / Jakub Bijak

2. Collecting evidence: Ingredients of scenario-building / Jakub Bijak and Mathias Czaika

Part II: Dealing with epistemic uncertainty: Concepts, drivers and data

3. Sources of uncertainty in migration scenarios / Mathias Czaika, Heidrun Bohnet, Federica Zardo and Jakub Bijak

4. Migration drivers across time and space: Selected examples / Marta Bivand Erdal, Helga de Valk, Jackline Wahba and Jakub Bijak

5. Estimating European migration flows / Peter W.F. Smith, Nico Keilman, Georgios Aristotelous and Jakub Bijak

Part III: Adapting to aleatory uncertainty: Scanning the future with scenarios

6. Ways of dealing with uncertainty in migration scenarios / Emily Barker and Jakub Bijak

7. Setting scenarios: Combining numbers and stories / Michaela Potančoková, Helga de Valk, Rafael Costa, Michaël Boissonneault and Jakub Bijak

Part IV: From migration scenarios to evidence-informed policies

8. Communico, ergo sum? Potential and pitfalls of knowledge exchange / Daniela Vono de Vilhena, Andreas Edel and Christian Kobsda

9. Forecasting asylum: The perspective of the European Union agency for asylum (euaa) / Teddy A. Wilkin and Constantinos Melachrinos

10. Comment: Dealing with uncertainty in population projections / Rainer Muenz

11. Contested realities: Context and the ethics of migration scenarios / Ann Singleton

Part V: Conclusions

12. Conclusion to from uncertainty to policy: A guide to migration scenarios / Jakub Bijak

References

Online resources

Glossary of key terms.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Creative Commons Attribution - NonCommercial - NoDerivatives 4.0 International CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 cc https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

Description based on print version record.

Other Format:

Print version: Bijak, Jakub From Uncertainty to Policy: a Guide to Migration Scenarios

ISBN:

9781035319800