Cooperation and Dependence in Belarus-Russia Relations / DARA MASSICOT, MICHELLE GRISÉ, KOTRYNA JUKNEVICIUTE, MARTA KEPE, CASEY MAHONEY, KRYSTYNA MARCINEK, YULIYA SHOKH, MARK STALCZYNSKI.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Massicot, Dara

Contributor:

Grisé, Michelle

Jukneviciute, Kotryna

Kepe, Marta

Mahoney, Casey

Marcinek, Krystyna

Shokh, Yuliya

Stalczynski, Mark.

Rand Corporation. National Security Research Division.

Rand Corporation.

United States. European Command.

Series:

Research report (Rand Corporation) ; A2061-3.

Report ; A2061-3

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Belarus--Foreign relations--Russia (Federation).

Belarus.

Russia (Federation)--Foreign relations--Belarus.

Russia (Federation).

European Union.

Geopolitical Strategic Competition.

Latvia.

Lithuania.

Local Subjects:

Belarus.

European Union.

Geopolitical Strategic Competition.

Latvia.

Lithuania.

Physical Description:

xi, 229 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2024

Summary:

The relationship between Belarus and Russia is unique and complex. At first glance, their similarities are numerous. Their ties are based on a shared history and language, a deep cultural affinity, legal agreements that codify a strategic partnership, intertwined economies, and shared threat perceptions of the West in general and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in particular. The two governments are led by highly personalist regimes that have decades of experience managing the partnership and share a similar and nostalgic view of the Soviet Union. There is a great deal of convergence across many policies. However, this relationship is not one between equals, nor is it entirely harmonious. The watershed year in the relationship was 2020, when Belarus's ability to offset Russian demands diminished. Through a combination of violent crackdowns on protests that year, alarming its neighbors via a migrant crisis in 2021, and allowing its territory to be used to launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Belarus has found itself increasingly isolated and unable to push back on most Russian requests. For Belarus's neighbors, managing the relationship with Minsk is now a challenge as ties (and mutual dependence) between Minsk and Moscow grow stronger. In this report, the authors outline areas of convergence and divergence in the Belarus-Russia relationship. They also consider the regional perspectives of Belarus's neighbors--Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Ukraine--and how the Belarus-Russia relationship poses an evolving threat to those neighbors' security.

Contents:

CHAPTER 1: Introduction

CHAPTER 2: Treaties, Agreements, and Legal Frameworks

CHAPTER 3: Political Relations

CHAPTER 4: Military and Security Cooperation

CHAPTER 5: Economic Relations and Defense Industrial Ties

CHAPTER 6: Regional Perspectives of Belarus's Neighbors

CHAPTER 7: Conclusions

APPENDIX: External Debt of the Republic of Belarus by Lender: 2006-2020.

Notes:

Title from PDF document (title page; viewed June 21, 2024)

"Prepared for the United States European Command"

"RAND NATIONAL SECURITY RESEARCH DIVISION"

Includes bibliographical references (pages 189-229)

Description from electronic resource

ISBN:

1977412998

9781977412997

OCLC:

1441779689