The politics of earthquake prediction / by Richard Stuart Olson with Bruno Podesta and Joanne M. Nigg.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Olson, Richard Stuart, 1946- author.

Podestá, Bruno, 1946- author.

Nigg, Joanne M., author.

Series:

Princeton Legacy Library

Princeton legacy library

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Earthquake prediction--Political aspects.

Earthquake prediction.

United States--Foreign relations--Peru.

United States.

Peru--Foreign relations--United States.

Peru.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (200 p.)

Edition:

Course Book

Place of Publication:

Princeton, New Jersey : Princeton University Press, [1989]

Language Note:

In English.

Summary:

The Politics of Earthquake Prediction is a suspenseful account of what happens when scientists predict an enormous earthquake for a specific day--an earthquake that did not, in this instance, happen, but which, if it had, would have been one of the most destructive of our century. Working in a field where uncertainty abounds, Dr. Brian Brady of the U.S. Bureau of Mines and Dr. William Spence of the U.S. Geological Survey gradually came to the conclusion that a catastrophic quake would occur on June 28, 1981, off the coast of central Peru, near the great population center of Lima-Callao. Their research was based on a theory challenging scientific notions widely accepted in the seismological "establishment." This book is a fast-paced but thorough and sensitive description of how this scientific dispute became a political controversy.The work portrays in detail the struggles of scientists and government officials in both the United States and Peru attempting to "do the right thing" as the target date approached. The authors emphasize the political, economic, and moral dilemmas of earthquake prediction, the impact of the media, and the potentially drastic consequences of ignoring a valid prediction.Originally published in 1989.The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Contents:

Frontmatter

CONTENTS

PREFACE

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

ONE. Introduction: Politics and Science

TWO. A Prediction Contained, 1976-1979

THREE. The Stakes Increase, 1979

FOUR. Bureaucratic Politics Takes Over, 1980

FIVE. Late 1980: The Prediction Goes Public-in the U.S.

SIX. Brady's 1981 "Trial": The First Day

SEVEN. Hardball: The Second Day of the Trial

EIGHT. The Controversy Continues

NINE. "Doomsday" Approaches -and Passes

TEN. Reflections

NOTES

INDEX

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 08. Jul 2019)

Description based on print version record.

ISBN:

1-4008-6020-2

OCLC:

884013209