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U.S.-China rivalry in a neomedieval world : security in an age of weakening states / Timothy R. Heath, Weilong Kong, Alexis Dale-Huang.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Heath, Timothy R., author.
- Kong, Weilong, author.
- Dale-Huang, Alexis, author.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- National security--Political aspects--United States.
- National security.
- National security--Political aspects--China.
- National security--Social aspects--United States.
- National security--Social aspects--China.
- National security--Economic aspects--United States.
- National security--Economic aspects--China.
- Diplomatic relations.
- National security--Economic aspects.
- United States--Foreign relations--China.
- United States.
- China--Foreign relations--United States.
- China.
- Other Title:
- U.S.-China Rivalry in a Neomedieval World
- Place of Publication:
- RAND Corporation 2023
- Summary:
- This report examines how U.S.-China rivalry might unfold under conditions characterized by a blend of some aspects of modern life with a much more substantial attenuation or regression of other aspects, a condition the authors label neomedievalism. The report outlines key trends that collectively suggest that the future of the U.S.-China rivalry will bear little resemblance to the titanic struggles of the past two centuries. U.S.-China peacetime competition appears headed to unfold under conditions featuring a high degree of international disorder, decaying state capacity, pervasive and acute domestic challenges, and severe constraints imposed by economic and social factors that are vastly different from those industrial nation-states experienced in the 19th and 20th centuries. These trends interact with and compound the effects of one another and are unlikely to be reversed. The net effect will be to considerably weaken virtually all states, including the United States and China. At the same time, severe resource constraints and a nearly overwhelming array of threats will stress the U.S. and China militaries and impair their ability to contend with one another. Many theories and ideas of why and how great powers compete may need to be reconsidered.
- Contents:
- Introduction: The neomedieval era
- Politics and government: Weakening states
- Culture and society: Fragmenting societies
- Economics: Imbalanced economics
- Security issues: Pervasive threats
- Military affairs: The informalization of warfare
- Back to the past? The future of U.S.-China rivalry.
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