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A Hotter and Drier Future Ahead : an assessment of climate change in U.S. Central Command / Michelle E. Miro, Flannery Dolan, Karen M. Sudkamp, Jeffrey Martini, Karishma V. Patel, and Carlos Calvo Hernandez.

Van Pelt Library QC903 .O35 2023
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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Miro, Michelle E.
Contributor:
Dolan, Flannery
Sudkamp, Karen M.
Martini, Jeffrey
Patel, Karishma V.
Calvo-Hernandez, Carlos
Rand Corporation. National Security Research Division.
Rand Corporation.
United States. Central Command.
Series:
Research report (Rand Corporation) ; A2338-1.
Report ; A2338-1
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
United States. Central Command.
United States.
Climatic changes.
Climatic extremes.
Natural disasters.
Food supply.
Food security.
Water-supply.
Water security.
Climatic changes--Social aspects--Risk assessment--Egypt.
Climatic changes--Social aspects--Risk assessment--Middle East.
Climatic changes--Social aspects--Risk assessment--Asia, Central.
Climatic changes--Social aspects--Risk assessment--South Asia.
Water security--Risk assessment--Egypt--Forecasting.
Water security--Risk assessment--Middle East--Forecasting.
Water security--Risk assessment--Asia, Central--Forecasting.
Water security--Risk assessment--South Asia--Forecasting.
Food security--Risk assessment--Egypt--Forecasting.
Food security--Risk assessment--Middle East--Forecasting.
Food security--Risk assessment--South Asia--Forecasting.
Food security--Risk assessment--Asia, Central--Forecasting.
Central Asia.
Food Supply.
Global Climate Change.
Middle East.
Natural Hazards.
South Asia.
Water Supply.
climate change.
natural disasters.
Local Subjects:
Central Asia.
Food Supply.
Global Climate Change.
Middle East.
Natural Hazards.
South Asia.
Water Supply.
Physical Description:
ix, 50 pages : color illustrations, color maps ; 28 cm
Other Title:
Assessment of climate change in U.S. Central Command
Place of Publication:
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2023.
Summary:
Climate change is increasingly becoming a major disruptor of human and natural systems. In some areas, summer temperatures are quickly rising, droughts are deepening, and heat waves are lengthening and getting hotter. Such changes will place pressure on scarce water resources, threaten food security, disrupt fisheries, and result in direct health consequences, among other impacts. These effects can produce secondary and tertiary impacts on human systems that may destabilize societies, economies, or governments. However, these dynamics are highly complex and deeply uncertain, and the pathways from climate changes to societal disruptions that lead to conflict remain poorly understood and an area for continuing research. Still, decisionmakers must plan and act in the near term to reduce future climate-induced risks to physical and human systems. As a first step to characterizing these pathways, this report examines climate change and its impacts on the physical environment to inform operational and longer-term decisionmaking by the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), with an emphasis on impacts that are relevant to food and water security in 2035, 2050, and 2070. This is the first report in a series that presents investigations into the potential impacts of climate change on the security environment in the CENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR). This report highlights locations that are projected to experience the biggest changes, as well as those that are most exposed to climate hazards.
Contents:
Chapter One: Introduction
Chapter Two: The Levant and Egypt
Chapter Three: Central Gulf
Chapter Four: Central and South Asia
Chapter Five: Conclusions
Appendix A: Supplemental Information on Methods
Appendix B: Climate Hazards by Country.
Notes:
"RAND NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INSTITUTE"
Includes bibliographical references (pages 47-50)
Description from electronic resource
ISBN:
1977412378
9781977412379
OCLC:
1411612427

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