Predictability of weather and climate / edited by Tim Palmer and Renate Hagedorn.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Palmer, Tim, editor.

Hagedorn, Renate, editor.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Weather forecasting.

Probability forecasts (Meteorology).

Physical Description:

1 online resource (xv, 702 pages) : digital, PDF file(s).

Edition:

1st ed.

Other Title:

Predictability of Weather & Climate

Place of Publication:

Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2006.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.

Contents:

Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer

Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins

Ch. 3. Predictability

a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz

Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer

Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell

Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill

Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh

Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou

Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith

Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin

Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser

Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III

Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park

Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti

Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth

Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction

some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons

Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza

Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi

Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson

Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova

Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen

Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu

Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne

Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn

Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson

Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman

Ch. 27. DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts / Renate Hagedorn, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes and T.N. Palmer.

Notes:

Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN:

1-107-16475-3

0-511-22622-5

1-280-55051-1

9786610550517

0-511-22565-2

0-511-22434-6

0-511-31799-9

0-511-61765-8

0-511-22501-6

OCLC:

475993851