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Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data / by Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Michael Dewar, Visakan Kadirkamanathan, Anaïd Flesken, Guido Sanguinetti.

EBSCOhost Academic eBook Collection (North America) Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Zammit-Mangion, Andrew., Author.
Dewar, Michael., Author.
Kadirkamanathan, Visakan., Author.
Flesken, Anaïd., Author.
Sanguinetti, Guido., Author.
Series:
SpringerBriefs in Mathematical Methods, 2365-0834
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
System theory.
Mathematics.
Social sciences.
Dynamics.
Nonlinear theories.
Probabilities.
Signal processing.
Complex Systems.
Mathematics in the Humanities and Social Sciences.
Applied Dynamical Systems.
Probability Theory.
Signal, Speech and Image Processing.
Local Subjects:
Complex Systems.
Mathematics in the Humanities and Social Sciences.
Applied Dynamical Systems.
Probability Theory.
Signal, Speech and Image Processing.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (82 p.)
Edition:
1st ed. 2013.
Place of Publication:
Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2013.
Language Note:
English
Summary:
This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.
Contents:
Conflict Data Sets and Point Patterns
Theory
Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan.
Notes:
Description based upon print version of record.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN:
3-319-01038-7

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