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The foundations of causal decision theory / James M. Joyce.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Joyce, James M., 1958- author.
- Series:
- Cambridge studies in probability, induction, and decision theory.
- Cambridge studies in probability, induction and decision theory
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Decision making.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (xii, 268 pages) : digital, PDF file(s).
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 1999.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
- Contents:
- Ch. 6. A General Theory of Conditional Beliefs
- Ch. 7. A Representation Theorem for Causal Decision Theory
- Ch. 8. Where Things Stand.
- Introduction: A Chance to Reconsider
- Ch. 1. Instrumental Rationality as Expected Utility Maximization
- Ch. 2. Decision Problems
- Ch. 3. Savage's Theory
- Ch. 4. Evidential Decision Theory
- Ch. 5. Causal Decision Theory.
- Notes:
- Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
- Includes bibliographical references (p. 258-264) and index.
- ISBN:
- 1-107-17310-8
- 1-281-38387-2
- 9786611383879
- 0-511-39809-3
- 0-511-39892-1
- 0-511-39659-7
- 0-511-40104-3
- 0-511-49849-7
- 0-511-39732-1
- OCLC:
- 437209147
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