Mission oriented effectiveness evaluation and optimization of complex systems / De Ping Zhang and Xuefeng Yan.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Zhang, De Ping, author.

Yan, Xue Feng, author.

Series:

Computer Science, Technology and Applications

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

System analysis.

Systems engineering.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (356 pages)

Place of Publication:

New York, New York : Nova Science Publishers, [2021]

Summary:

"With the development and wide application of new information technology, the trend of informationization, intelligence and integration for complex systems is becoming increasingly obvious. Various complex systems promote and restrict each other to form an organic system with a feature of system emergence. The goal of these complex systems is to accomplish complex tasks in very complicated and uncertain environments and get better results than people expect. System effectiveness is always used to measure the design quality and capacity of complex systems. It represents the comprehensive capability of a complex system to perform specific tasks under specific conditions. To guide the optimization design process, improve design quality, reduce the design lifecycle and ultimately enhance the overall capabilities of complex systems, it is necessary to find a scientific method to evaluate and optimize the system effectiveness of the complex system. At present, there are many methods to evaluate system effectiveness, but most of the evaluation objects are mainly single equipment or a subsystem. Complex systems have various typical characteristics of large scale, complex relationships, diverse tasks, and typical uncertainties. It is difficult to achieve comprehensive evaluation and it is not effective to use the existing simple methods directly. Because the existing research on comprehensive evaluation of system effectiveness struggles to meet the emergence requirements of complex systems, it is necessary to research and form a comprehensive evaluation and optimization method of system effectiveness for the complex system. The basic theories and applications of effectiveness evaluation and optimization technology are introduced in this book. The book contains nine chapters, the main contents of which are as follows: Introduction; Construction of Effectiveness Evaluation Index System; Mathematical Modeling and Analysis Technology of Effectiveness Index; Analysis Technology of Classical Effectiveness Evaluation; Mission Oriented Effectiveness Evaluation Technology; Operational Effectiveness Sensitivity Analysis Technology; Analysis Technology of System Effectiveness Contribution; Mission oriented Modeling; and Evaluation and Optimization of Complex Systems. The main content of this book includes: the entire analyzing process of system effectiveness and complex system performance; the construction, selection and modeling of the index system; the evaluation of system effectiveness; and the analysis of sensitivity and contribution, among other topics. Each chapter has a close logical relationship, which can help the readers understand the field more easily. This book has strong practicality. Based on the basic theories of various methods, we provide many concrete cases. Readers can quickly apply them to the practice of effectiveness evaluation following the case studies. The authors' research and applications provide not only theoretical knowledge, but practical knowledge as well. The latest technological developments are also considered. This book mainly discusses the performance evaluation of typical complex systems, focusing on new theories and methods in this field. We believe this can help the development and application of effectiveness evaluation of complex systems. This book can be used as reference material or as a textbook for high grade students and graduated students in computer simulation and system modeling and simulation, control science and engineering. It also has important reference value for researchers and engineers in professional fields such as ship engineering, aircraft guidance and control, and aircraft design"-- Provided by publisher.

Contents:

Intro

MISSION ORIENTED EFFECTIVENESSEVALUATION AND OPTIMIZATIONOF COMPLEX SYSTEMS

Contents

Preface

Acknowledgments

Chapter 1Overview of Effectiveness Evaluation

1.1. Related Research

1.2. Main Problems and the Trends

1.3. Significance of SoS Effectiveness Evaluation

Chapter 2Basic Concepts

2.1. EffectivenessMeasurement

2.1.1. Concept of Effectiveness

2.1.2. Effectiviness Measurement Analysis

2.2. System Operational Capability

2.2.1. Definition

2.2.2. Operational Effectiveness and Operational Capability

2.3. Effectiveness Index

2.4. Process of System Effectiveness Evaluation

2.5. System Effectiveness Evaluation Method

2.5.1. Classical Effectiveness Evaluation Method

(1) Probability method

(2) Exponent method

(3) ADC method

(4) Monte Carlo method

(5) Lanchester function method

(6) System dynamics method

(7) System effectiveness analysis

(8) Influence diagram modeling and analysis

(9) Analytic hierarchy process

(10) Petri network

(11) Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

(12) Simulation method

(13) Meta-synthesis

2.5.2. New Method of System Effectiveness Evaluation

(1) Computational experiment method

(2) Exploratory analysis

(3) Data farming and data mining technology

(4) Intelligent analysis technology based on simulation big data

Chapter 3Construction of Evaluation IndexSystem

3.1. Selection Principle of Evaluation Indexes

3.2. Construction of Index System

3.3. Construction of Evaluation Index System

3.3.1. Construction Model of Evaluation Index System

3.3.2. Selection of Construction Pattern

3.3.3. The Construction Process of Hierarchy Evaluation Index System

(1) The Decomposition of Operational Capability Indexes.

(2) The Decomposition of Operational Suitability

3.3.4. Index System and Optimization

(1) Index System

(2) Index System Validity

(3) Stability and Reliability of Index System

3.3.5. Case Study

(1) Preparation Conditions of the Effectiveness

(2) Select the Construction Pattern of Corresponding Evaluation Index SystemBased on Evaluation Conditions

(3) Instantiation Based on the Selected Construction Pattern

(4) Design the Detailed Evaluation Index System

(i) The operational situation

(ii) The operational suitability

(iii) The formation mobility

(iv) The reconnaissance and early warning capability

(v) The command and control capability

(vi) The electronic countermeasures capability

(vii) The counterattack capability

3.4. Evaluation Index System Construction

3.4.1. Characteristics of SoS Effectiveness of Evaluation

(1) Emergence Effectiveness

(2) Structure Evolution

(3) Relativity of the Capability

3.4.2. Index System Framework

(1) The Index System Framework of Effectiveness Evaluation

(2) The Effectiveness Evaluation Index of Component System

(3) The Measures of Task Effectiveness (MOTE)

(4) The Measures of Emergence Effectiveness (MOEE)

(5) The Measures Networked Effectiveness (MONE)

3.4.3. Correlation Analysis of Efficiency Indexes

(1) The Correlation between MOTE and MOEE

(2) The Correlation between MOEE and MONE

3.4.4. Case Study

(1) Modeling of Formation Anti-Submarine Networked Operational Model

(i) Node modeling

(ii) Edge modeling

(2) Index System Construction of SoS Operational Effectiveness

(i) Establishment of effectiveness index system for component-level sub-system

(a) Index system of the detection links effectiveness evaluation

(b) Index system of information upload link effectiveness evaluation.

(c) Index system of decision link effectiveness evaluation

(d) Index system of the impact link effectiveness evaluation

(ii) SoS mission effectiveness index

(iii) SoS network structure characteristic index system

(iv) SoS emergence indexes

(3) Dynamic Index Network Based on the Correlation Analysis of Time Series

(4) Key Indexes Mining Based on Community Analysis and Clustering

(i) The community algorithm based on the shortest path

(ii) The characteristic index set based on PCA

3.5. Construction ofMission-OrientedEvaluation Index System

3.5.1. Construction of OperationalMission Profile

(1) Basic Concepts of Operational Mission Profile

(i) Mission profile

(ii) Meta-mission

(2) Modeling of Mission Process

3.5.2. Mission Effectiveness Evaluation Index System Based on Process-Focused Thinking Method

3.5.3. Case Study

(1) Requirement of Anti-Submarine Mission

(i) Hydrological conditions of sea battle field

(ii) Initial situation

(iii) Action rules

(2) TypicalMission Scenario

(3) Operational Activity

(4) Effectiveness Index System Based on the PFT

(i) Navigation preparation

(ii) Navigation phase

(iii) Standby phase

(iv) Operational phase

(v) Back phase

3.6. Selection of Effectiveness Evaluation Index

3.6.1. Indexes Selection Based on Multiple Correlation Analysis

(1) The Cyclic Screening of Multiple Correlation Coefficient Index

(2) The Index Selection Based on the Variation Coefficient

3.6.2. Dynamic Index Selection Based on Sensitivity Analysis

3.6.3. Index Selection Based on Kernel Principal Component Analysis

Chapter 4Mathematical Modeling ofEffectiveness Index

4.1. Basic Index Measurement

4.1.1. Index Dimensionless Based on Utility Function

(1) The Application of Utility Function in the Index Dimensionless

(i) Basic utility function.

(ii) The utility function of index classification

(a) The utility function of mission success index

(b) The utility function of mission failure index

(c) The utility function of proportion index

(d) The utility function of time index

(e) The utility function of utilization rate index

4.1.2. Index Dimensionless Based on Membership

(i) The membership of qualitative index

(ii) The membership of quantitative index

(a) Fuzzy quantification of positive index

(b) Fuzzy quantification of negative index

(c) Fuzzy model of moderate index

4.2. Mathematical Modeling of System Effectiveness Index

4.2.1. System Capability Index Modeling

(1) FormulaMethod

(2) Index AggregationMethod

(i) Weighted sum aggregation

(ii) The weighted product aggregation

(iii) Nonlinear aggregation of index system

(3) PredictionMethod

4.2.2. System Effectiveness Index Modeling

4.3. Mathematical Modeling of SoS Effectiveness Index

4.3.1. Modeling of Networked Evaluation Index

(i) Network natural connectivity

(ii) Classification degree and distribution

(iii) Subnet clustering coefficient

4.3.2. Modeling of Emergence Evaluation Index

(1) Inherited Emergence

(2) None-Inherited Emergence

(3) Network Connectivity of SoS

(4) Invulnerability

(5) Elasticity of the Operational SoS

(6) Adaptability

(7) Reasoning Capability of Battlefield Situation

(8) Collaborative EarlyWarning Capability

(9) Collaborative Attack Capability

(10) Survivability

Chapter 5 Classical Method of Effectiveness Evaluation

5.1. Effectiveness Evaluation Based on AHP

5.1.1. Basic Principles of AHP

(1) Establish a Hierarchical Structure Model

(2) Construct the Judgment

(3) Single Layer Sorting and Consistency Checking

(4) Random Consistency Checking Index.

(5) Total Layer Sorting and Consistency Checking

5.1.2. Effectiveness Evaluation Based on AHP

5.1.3. Case Study

5.2. The Comprehensive Effectiveness Evaluation Based on ANP

5.2.1. The Basic Principle of ANP

(1) Construction of the Supermatrix

(2) Construction of Weighted Supermatrix

(3) Construction of Limit Supermatrix

(i) Relative ranking (or influence ranking)

(ii) Absolute rank

(4) Weights of ANP

(i) The element supermatrix

(ii) The weighted matrix of the element group

(iii) The weighted supermatrix

(iv) Solving the weights of the indexes

(v) The total target weight of the elements

5.2.2. Effectiveness Evaluation Based on ANP

(1) Construction and optimization of networked index system

(i) Preliminary scheme of the evaluation index system

(ii) Index screening based on Delphi

(iii) Correlation analysis of indexes

(iv) Design the index system

(2) Supermatrix Based on Multi-Information Fusion

(i) Collecting the experts experience data

(ii) Basic evaluation index of dynamic measurement

(iii) Multi-evaluation source data

(iv) Construction of (weighted) supermatrix

(3) Effectiveness Evaluation Model Based on Index Weight

(i) Weighted sum method

(ii) Power exponent method

5.2.3. Case Study

(1) Background

(2) Design of Networked Evaluation Index System

(3) Solution of Networked Evaluation Index System

(4) Power Exponent Evaluation Model

5.3. Comprehensive Effectiveness Evaluation Based on FactorAnalysis

5.3.1. Basic Principles of Factor Analysis

(1) Basic Principles of Correlation Analysis of Evaluation Index

5.3.2. Efficiency Evaluation Based on Factor Analysis

5.3.3. Case Study

5.4. Comprehensive Effectiveness Evaluation Based on ADC

5.4.1. Basic Principles of ADC

5.4.2. The Effectiveness Evaluation Based on ADC.

5.4.3. Case Study.

Notes:

Description based on print version record.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN:

1-5361-9535-9

OCLC:

1245961048