Analyzing Wimbledon : The Power of Statistics

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Klaassen, Franc.

Contributor:

Magnus, Jan R.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Tennis--Statistics.

Wimbledon Championships.

Local Subjects:

Tennis--Statistics.

Wimbledon Championships.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (269 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Cary : Oxford University Press, USA, 2013.

Summary:

In tennis, is it true that beginning to serve in a set gives an advantage? Can the outcome of a match be predicted? Which points are important, and do real champions win the big points? Do players serve optimally? Does "winning mood" exist? The book answers such questions, demonstrating the power and beauty of statistical reasoning.

Contents:

""Cover""; ""Contents""; ""Preface""; ""Acknowledgements""; ""1 Warming up""; ""Wimbledon""; ""Commentators""; ""An example""; ""Correlation and causality""; ""Why statistics?""; ""Sports data and human behavior""; ""Why tennis?""; ""Structure of the book""; ""Further reading""; ""2 Richard""; ""Meeting Richard""; ""From point to game""; ""The tiebreak""; ""Serving first in a set""; ""During the set""; ""Best-of-three versus best-of-five""; ""Upsets""; ""Long matches: Isner-Mahut 2010""; ""Rule changes: the no-ad rule""; ""Abolishing the second service""; ""Further reading""

""3 Forecasting""""Forecasting with Richard""; ""Federer-Nadal, Wimbledon final 2008""; ""Effect of smaller P""; ""Kim Clijsters defeats Venus Williams, US Open 2010""; ""Effect of larger P""; ""Djokovic-Nadal, Australian Open 2012""; ""In-play betting""; ""Further reading""; ""4 Importance""; ""What is importance?""; ""Big points in a game""; ""Big games in a set""; ""The vital seventh game""; ""Big sets""; ""Are all points equally important?""; ""The most important point""; ""Three importance profiles""; ""Further reading""; ""5 Point data""; ""The Wimbledon data set""

""Two selection problems""""Estimators, estimates, and accuracy""; ""Development of tennis over time""; ""Winning a point on service unraveled""; ""Testing a hypothesis: men versus women""; ""Aces and double faults""; ""Breaks and rebreaks""; ""Are our summary statistics too simple?""; ""Further reading""; ""6 The method of moments""; ""Our summary statistics are too simple""; ""The method of moments""; ""Enter Miss Marple""; ""Re-estimating p by the method of moments""; ""Men versus women revisited""; ""Beyond the mean: variation over players""

""Reliability of summary statistics: a rule of thumb""""Filtering out the noise""; ""Noise-free variation over players""; ""Correlation between opponents""; ""Why bother?""; ""Further reading""; ""7 Quality""; ""Observable variation over players""; ""Ranking""; ""Round, bonus, and malus""; ""Significance, relevance, and sensitivity""; ""The complete model""; ""Winning a point on service""; ""Other service characteristics""; ""Aces and double faults""; ""Further reading""; ""8 First and second service""; ""Is the second service more important than the first?""

""Differences in service probabilities explained""""Joint analysis: bivariate GMM""; ""Four service dimensions""; ""Four-variate GMM""; ""Further reading""; ""9 Service strategy""; ""The server�s trade-off""; ""The y-curve""; ""Optimal strategy: one service""; ""Optimal strategy: two services""; ""Existence and uniqueness""; ""Four regularity conditions for the optimal strategy""; ""Functional form of y-curve""; ""Efficiency defined""; ""Efficiency of the average player""; ""Observations for the key probabilities: Monte Carlo""; ""Efficiency estimates""; ""Mean match efficiency gains""

""Efficiency gains across matches""

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

ISBN:

0-19-935597-5

OCLC:

922972722