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The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process : Project Management in Prevention and Support / by Marcus Hellwig.

Springer Nature - Springer Mathematics and Statistics eBooks 2023 English International Available online

Springer Nature - Springer Mathematics and Statistics eBooks 2023 English International
Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Hellwig, Marcus.
Series:
Springer essentials, 2731-3115
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Statistics.
Public health.
Probabilities.
Applied Statistics.
Public Health.
Applied Probability.
Local Subjects:
Applied Statistics.
Public Health.
Applied Probability.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (78 pages)
Edition:
1st ed. 2023.
Place of Publication:
Cham : Springer Nature Switzerland : Imprint: Springer Vieweg, 2023.
Summary:
With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave". Content The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb - density function Representation of a process management Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology Target Groups Virology, Departments of Health and Human Services Statistics Departments The Author Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.
Contents:
Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor
Objectives
SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model
Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state
The “infection curve” I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function
Random ranges of NV and Eqb
Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb
Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence
Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback
Representation of a process management
Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology
Summary.
ISBN:
3-031-31190-6

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