Assessing Risk to the National Critical Functions As a Result of Climate Change.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Miro, Michelle E.

Contributor:

Lauland, Andrew.

Ali, Rahim.

Chan, Edward W.

Donohue, Richard H.

Ecola.

Gulden, Timothy R.

Regan, Liam.

Sudkamp, Karen M.

Sytsma, Tobias.

Rand Corporation. Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center, sponsoring body.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Infrastructure (Economics)--United States--Forecasting.

Infrastructure (Economics).

Climatic changes--Economic aspects--United States.

Climatic changes.

Public works--United States--Evaluation.

Public works.

Infrastructure (Economics)--United States--Protection.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (192 pages)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica : RAND Corporation, The, 2022.

Summary:

National Critical Functions (NCFs) are government and private-sector functions so vital that their disruption would debilitate security, the economy, public health, or safety. Researchers developed a risk management framework to assess and manage the risk that climate change poses to the NCFs and use the framework to assess 27 priority NCFs. This report details the risk assessment portions of the framework. The team assessed risk based on a scale that the National Risk Management Center uses that ranges from a rating of 1 (no disruption or normal operations) to 5 (critical disruption on a national scale). A rating of 3 (moderate disruption) on the national level, although it still allows normal functioning on a national scale, should be regarded as highly significant and includes the potential for major disruptions or failure of NCFs at a local or regional level and for significant economic loss, health and safety impacts, and other consequences. Using this risk rating scale and projected changes in eight climate drivers identified in the analysis (flooding, sea-level rise, tropical cyclones and hurricanes, severe storm systems, extreme cold, extreme heat, wildfire, and drought), the researchers examined how NCFs could be affected by and at risk from climate change in three future time periods (by 2030, by 2050, and by 2100) and two future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (current and high).

Contents:

Chapter One: Introduction

Chapter Two: Methods

Chapter Three: Climate Drivers

Chapter Four: Synthesis of Results and High-Level Findings

Chapter Five: National Critical Function-Level Findings

Chapter Six: Cascading Risks

Chapter Seven: Conclusion

Appendix: National Critical Function Vulnerability Screening

Notes:

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

OCLC:

1327710831