Cuba : clearing perilous waters? / Edward Gonzalez.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Gonzalez, Edward.

Contributor:

United States. Department of Defense. Office of the Secretary of Defense.

National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Cuba--Politics and government--1959-1990.

Cuba.

Cuba--Relations--United States.

United States--Relations--Cuba.

United States.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (xix, 126 pages)

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation, 1996.

Summary:

This report assesses Cuba's current political dynamics and economic prospects, and where Cuba is headed. It analyzes the regime's major civilian and military leaders and institutions, the civil society groups emerging outside the regime, and the respective roles of all these actors in the years ahead. It then evaluates how current U.S. policy, and the options of tightening or lifting the embargo, might hasten or hinder the transition toward a more democratic, market-oriented Cuba. Although it cautions that the final outcome of Cuba's current transition will be determined internally rather than by U.S. policy, the report concludes by proposing a new, bolder U.S. strategy to help accelerate the process of fundamental change on the island.

Contents:

Introduction Part I: Cuba in Transition Cuba: Heading for Safe or Perilous Waters? Domestic Factors Affecting Cuban Outcomes Regime Leaders, Tendencies, and Institutional Players Civil Society Actors Part II: U.S. Policy and Cuba Present U.S. Policy and Its Options U.S. Policy Options and Cuban Futures A Proactive Policy for Cuba Postscript Appendix: Actors, Models, and Endgames Bibliography