The future of the Army's civilian workforce : comparing projected inventory with anticipated requirements and estimating cost under different personnel policies / Shanthi Nataraj, Lawrence M. Hanser, Frank Camm, Jessica Yeats.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Nataraj, Shanthi, author.

Hanser, Lawrence M., author.

Camm, Frank A., 1949- author.

Yeats, Jessica M., author.

Contributor:

Rand Corporation, issuing body.

Arroyo Center, issuing body.

United States. Army, sponsoring body.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Armed Forces--Civilian employees.

United States--Armed Forces--Civilian employees.

United States.

United States. Army.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (xxii, 70 pages) : color illustrations

Summary:

"In keeping with the coming drawdown in military end strength, the Department of Defense is planning to scale back its civilian workforce over the next several years. After reaching nearly 295,000 full-time employees in fiscal year (FY) 2010, the size of Army's civilian workforce has started to fall. It is necessary to manage this drawdown so that sufficient people remain available in key positions. The authors projected the future supply of Army civilians under various scenarios and examined how the Army might manage supply to meet projected demand, by bringing together workforce supply and demand models. The RAND Inventory Model was used to project the supply of Army civilians, by command and occupation, based on historical patterns of internal transfers and separations, and various scenarios for future hiring. The supply projections were matched with demand projections from RAND's Generating-Force-to-Operator model, which translates budgets for the Army's operating force into projected changes in the institutional Army, to estimate the numbers of new hires or force reductions needed to meet the demand for civilians. The findings suggest that meeting future targets will require reducing hiring rates below historical levels but that substantial hiring will still be needed in most commands. If demand drops considerably below current projections, larger cuts would likely be required. Workforce cost is projected to change largely in line with the number of personnel. If requirements based on the FY 2014 President's Budget are met by FY 2017, nominal costs are projected to remain approximately constant, with expected civilian pay raises offsetting workforce reductions."--"Abstract on web page.

Contents:

Introduction Methodology Descriptive Analyses Personnel Projections Potential Implications for Civilian Policies Appendix A: RAND Inventory Model Details Appendix B: Cost Projection Details Appendix C: Mission-Critical Occupations Appendix D: Alternative Target Scenarios Appendix E: Historical Data for Network Enterprise Technology Command