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What Deters and Why : The State of Deterrence in Korea and the Taiwan Strait / Michael J. Mazarr, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Timothy R. Heath, Derek Eaton.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Mazarr, Michael J., 1965- author.
- Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Nathan, author.
- Heath, Timothy R., author.
- Eaton, Derek, 1963- author.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Deterrence (Strategy)--Government policy--United States.
- Deterrence (Strategy).
- Deterrence (Strategy)--Evaluation.
- Security, International--Korea.
- Security, International.
- Security, International--Taiwan.
- Security, International--China.
- Military relations.
- Military policy--Evaluation.
- United States--Military policy--Evaluation.
- United States.
- United States--Military relations--China.
- United States--Military relations--Korea (North).
- United States--Military relations--Taiwan.
- Korea (North).
- China.
- Korea.
- Taiwan.
- Other Title:
- What Deters and Why
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation 2021
- Summary:
- As part of a series of reports in which RAND researchers examine the established concepts of deterrence and develop a framework for evaluating the strength of deterrent relationships, this report explores two ongoing examples of extended deterrence. In particular, RAND researchers apply the established framework to U.S. efforts to deter North Korean aggression against South Korea and U.S. efforts to deter Chinese aggression against Taiwan. The researchers conclude that the state of deterrence in Korea is healthy, and all examined variables (including those related to North Korea’s motivations and the clarity and credibility of the U.S. deterrence message) are robust or effective. In contrast, the state of deterrence with regard to China and Taiwan is mixed. Many of the variables governing capability, commitment, and national will appear to have degraded over the past two decades, leaving only China’s motivations as the major barrier to a seriously imperiled deterrence posture.
- Contents:
- Foundations for the Analysis and Outline of the Report
- The State of Deterrence in Korea : North Korea's Motivation ; Clarity of the U.S. Deterrence Message ; Credibility of the U.S. Deterrence Message ; Conclusion
- The State of Deterrence in Taiwan : China's Motivation ; Clarity of the U.S. Deterrence Message ; Credibility of the U.S. deterrence Message ; Conclusion
- Conclusions and Implications for the U.S. Army : Deterrence in Korea ; Deterrence in Taiwan
- Appendix ; U.S. Deterrence of China in Three Taiwan elections.
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