China's propensity for innovation in the 21st century : identifying indicators of future outcomes / Steven W. Popper, Marjory S. Blumenthal, Eugeniu Han, Sale Lilly, Lyle J. Morris, Caroline S. Wagner, Christopher A. Eusebi, Brian Carlson, Alice Shih.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Popper, Steven W., 1953- author.

Blumenthal, Marjory S., author.

Han, Eugeniu, author.

Lilly, Sale, author.

Morris, Lyle J., author.

Wagner, Caroline S., author.

Eusebi, Christopher A., author.

Carlson, Brian, author.

Shih, Alice, author.

Contributor:

Acquisition and Technology Policy Center.

Rand Corporation.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Technological innovations--Economic aspects--China.

Technological innovations.

Technological innovations--China--21st century.

Technological innovations--Economic aspects.

China.

Other Title:

China's Propensity for Innovation in the 21st Century

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation 2020

Summary:

The authors examine the propensity within China's innovation system to realize its potential as an innovating nation: What is the balance of systemic forces that incline toward seeing that the innovation assets China possesses lead to innovation outcomes? They lay out a conceptual framework for capturing the major activities, interactions, and flows that give rise to technological innovations. They use this framework to place within one matrix salient elements that appear in the global literature on innovation; the literature on innovation in China and on its political, economic, and social systems; the results from three case studies prepared for this report (pharmaceuticals, artificial intelligence, and distributed ledger technology); and three different inquiries into the nature and measurement of network organization. They then provide a determination of which cells in the matrix that result from placing these elements into the innovation framework might be most useful as windows into those aspects of China's innovation system dynamics that might be expected to affect innovation propensity and observed innovation outcomes. Measures are developed for these elements with an emphasis more on what observers would like to know as opposed to what information might be most readily available presently. Thirteen of these indicators are then selected to form a preliminary "dashboard" of candidate indicators for China's propensity toward future innovation. These are offered not as final findings but rather as a first set of candidates to be assessed and refined in later empirical analyses. The authors also offer sample proxies for these draft indicators.

Contents:

Capturing Lightning in a Bottle: Innovation and State Power

The Nature of Innovation and the Location of Innovative Activity

The Road Toward the Chinese Century

Gleaning from Case Studies of Sectoral Innovation

Quantitative and Digital Evidence of Networks in China

Innovation Propensity: Looking Toward the Future

Appendix A: Case Study: China and Artificial Intelligence

Appendix B: Case Study: China and Pharmaceutical Products

Appendix C: Bibliometric Measurement of Scientific Knowledge Networks.